Automatic COVID-19 severity assessment from HRV.

COVID-19 is known to be a cause of microvascular disease imputable to, for instance, the cytokine storm inflammatory response and the consequent blood coagulation. In this study, we propose a methodological approach for assessing the COVID-19 presence and severity based on Random Forest (RF) and Support Vector Machine (SVM) classifiers. Classifiers were applied to Heart Rate Variability (HRV) parameters extracted from photoplethysmographic (PPG) signals collected from healthy and COVID-19 affected subjects. The supervised classifiers were trained and tested on HRV parameters obtained from the PPG signals in a cohort of 50 healthy subjects and 93 COVID-19 affected subjects, divided into two groups, mild and moderate, based on the support of oxygen therapy and/or ventilation. The most informative feature set for every group's comparison was determined with the Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) technique. Both RF and SVM classifiers showed a high accuracy percentage during groups' comparisons. In particular, the RF classifier reached 94% of accuracy during the comparison between the healthy and minor severity COVID-19 group. Obtained results showed a strong capability of RF and SVM to discriminate between healthy subjects and COVID-19 patients and to differentiate the two different COVID-19 severity. The proposed method might be helpful for detecting, in a low-cost and fast fashion, the presence and severity of COVID-19 disease; moreover, these reasons make this method interesting as a starting point for future studies that aim to investigate its effectiveness as a possible screening method.

COVID-19 detection using a model of photoplethysmography (PPG) signals.

OBJECTIVE: Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) targets several tissues of the human body; among these, a serious impact has been observed in the microvascular system. The aim of this study was to verify the presence of photoplethysmographic (PPG) signal modifications in patients affected by COVID-19 at different levels of severity. APPROACH: The photoplethysmographic signal was evaluated in 93 patients with COVID-19 of different severity (46: grade 1; 47: grade 2) and in 50 healthy control subjects. A pre-processing step removes the long-term trend and segments of each pulsation in the input signal. Each pulse is approximated with a model generated from a multi-exponential curve, and a Least Squares fitting algorithm determines the optimal model parameters. Using the parameters of the mathematical model, three different classifiers (Bayesian, SVM and KNN) were trained and tested to discriminate among healthy controls and patients with COVID, stratified according to the severity of the disease. Results are validated with the leave-one-subject-out validation method. MAIN RESULTS: Results indicate that the fitting procedure obtains a very high determination coefficient (above 99% in both controls and pathological subjects). The proposed Bayesian classifier obtains promising results, given the size of the dataset, and variable depending on the classification strategy. The optimal classification strategy corresponds to 79% of accuracy, with 90% of specificity and 67% of sensibility. SIGNIFICANCE: The proposed approach opens the possibility of introducing a low cost and non-invasive screening procedure for the fast detection of COVID-19 disease, as well as a promising monitoring tool for hospitalized patients, with the purpose of stratifying the severity of the disease.

Cardiovascular Dynamics in COVID-19: A Heart Rate Variability Investigation.

COVID-19 is known to be a cause of microvascular disease due, for example, to the cytokine storm inflammatory response and the result of blood coagulation. This study reports an investigation on Heart Rate Variability (HRV) extracted from photoplethysmography (PPG) signals measured from healthy subjects and COVID-19 affected patients. We aimed to determine a statistical difference between HRV parameters among subjects' groups. Specifically, statistical analysis through Mann-Whitney U Test (MWUT) was applied to compare 42 dif-ferent parameters extracted from PPG signals of 143 subjects: 50 healthy subjects (i.e. group 0) and 93 affected from COVID-19 patients stratified through increasing COVID severity index (i.e. groups 1 and 2). Results showed significant statistical differences between groups in several HRV parameters. In particular, Multiscale Entropy (MSE) analysis provided the master key in patient stratification assessment. In fact, MSE11, MSE12, MSE15, MSE16, MSE17, MSE18, MSE19 and MSE20 keep statistical significant difference during all the comparisons between healthy subjects and patients from all the pathological groups. Our preliminary results suggest that it could be possible to distinguish between healthy and COVID-19 affected subjects based on cardiovascular dynamics. This study opens to future evaluations in using machine learning models for automatic decision-makers to distinguish between healthy and COVID-19 subjects, as well as within COVID-19 severity levels. Clinical Relevance - This establishes the possibility to distin-guish healthy subjects from COVID-19 affected patients basing on HRV parameters monitored non invasively by PPG.